MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:13:25| >> :60:29:29:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Athletico Paranaense

Cerro Porteno
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Benitez (33')
Piris (45+8'), Baez (63'), Gimenez (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Christian (69')
Godoy (45+4'), Julimar (45+4'), Christian (67'), Pablo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cerro Porteno and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Athletico Paranaense

It has been over two weeks since Porteno last played in a competitive game, and given the long layoff, we expect it may take them a while to find a foothold in this one. Paranaense do not seem to be phased with these knockout fixtures, and we expect them to eventually find a breakthrough against what could be a pesky backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawAthletico Paranaense
33.35% (0.314 0.31) 27.6% (0.154 0.15) 39.06% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Both teams to score 48.73% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.524 -0.52)56.96% (0.527 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (-0.424 -0.42)77.87% (0.426 0.43)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)31.94% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)68.4% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)28.39% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86% (-0.655 -0.66)64.14% (0.657 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 33.35%
    Athletico Paranaense 39.05%
    Draw 27.6%
Cerro PortenoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.1 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Athletico PR

Cerro Porteno
28.2%
Draw
25.6%
Athletico Paranaense
46.2%
39
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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