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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 3, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Audax Italiano

Bolivar
3 - 0
Audax

Abrego (21'), Riquelme (69'), Fernandez (90+7')
Jusino (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henriquez (45+2'), Holgado (62'), Labrin (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Bolivar and Audax Italiano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Audax Italiano win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
BolivarDrawAudax Italiano
50.96%23.47%25.56%
Both teams to score 57.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29%43.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9%66.1%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78%17.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.49%47.51%
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99%67.01%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 50.96%
    Audax Italiano 25.56%
    Draw 23.47%
BolivarDrawAudax Italiano
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.19%
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-1 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 25.56%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2020 10.15pm
Second Stage
Audax
2-1
Bolivar
Orellana (15'), Andres Ramirez (84')
Cabrera (2'), Fernandez (37')
Saavedra (23' pen.)
Flores (81')
Rojas (89')
rhs 2.0
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