Neither side are in their best moment heading into this fixture. The hosts have won just twice in their last five league matches while the visitors have drawn the last three. Furthermore, the last three meetings between these sides have ended in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
50.83% ( 0.87)	26.56% ( 0.27)	22.61% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 44.95% (

-1.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.53% (

-1.86)

58.47% (

1.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.94% (

-1.47)

79.06% (

1.47)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86% (

-0.41)

23.14% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43% (

-0.59)

57% (

0.59)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48% (

-2.15)

41.52% (

2.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-1.95)

78.02% (

1.95)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 50.83%

Athletico Paranaense 22.61%

Draw 26.56%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 50.83%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.18% Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Athletico PR

Cruzeiro

60.0%

Draw

35.0%

Athletico Paranaense

5.0%

Head to Head

Nov 30, 2023 11pm

Gameweek 36

Cruzeiro

1-1

Athletico PR

Pereira (84')
Luccas (14'), Neris (39'), William (68')

Roque (65')
Felipe (40'), Caca (79'), Moura (87'), Cardoso (90+4')

Jul 29, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 17

Athletico PR

3-3

Cruzeiro

Madson (41'), Pablo (78'), Fernandinho (87' pen.)
Vidal (15')

Arthur (8', 37'), Wesley (82')
Pepa (16'), Palacios (22'), Cabral (85'), William (87'), Wesley (87')
Pepa (0')

Nov 7, 2019 12.30am

Gameweek 31

Athletico PR

0-0

Cruzeiro

Pereira (25'), Martins (63'), Ruben (93')

Sassa (45')
Sassa (60')

Jul 27, 2019 11pm

Cruzeiro

0-2

Athletico PR

Fred (35')

Jonathan (30' pen.), Guimaraes (77')

Nov 10, 2018 9pm

Gameweek 33

Athletico PR

2-0

Cruzeiro

Cirino (10'), Veiga (22')
Jonathan (17'), Wellington (59'), Pereira (75'), Guimaraes (76')

Henrique (44'), Manoel (54'), Cabral (58'), Edilson (59'), Romero (75'), Sobis (76'), De Arrascaeta (83')

Form Guide

Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro 2-0 Fluminense

Vasco 0-0 Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro 2-1 Cuiaba

Sao Paulo 2-0 Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro 1-0 U. Catolica

Athletico PR 1-1 Corinthians

Botafogo 1-1 Athletico PR

Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo

Athletico PR 3-1 Criciuma

Fortaleza 1-0 Athletico PR

Athletico PR 0-1 Ameliano

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