MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:24:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada
Sao Paulo

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Fernandinho (38')
Linck (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferreira (33'), Calleri (60')
Zubeldia (14'), Calleri (66'), Rocha (75'), Rato (86'), Ferreira (87')
Zubeldia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Sao Paulo

Off the back of winning their last two matches, Sao Paulo will head into Wednesday with confidence as they look to leapfrog the home side in the table. However, Paranaense have been rock-solid at home this season and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
48.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.08% (0.004999999999999 0) 25.72%
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.38% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.76% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)36.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)73.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 48.2%
    Sao Paulo 25.72%
    Draw 26.08%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.2%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.72%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Sao Paulo

Athletico Paranaense
47.1%
Draw
29.4%
Sao Paulo
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 30
Athletico PR
1-1
Sao Paulo
Pablo (7')
Moura (57')
Maia (10')
Maia (17'), Erison (24'), Mendes (55'), Luciano (68'), Pires (90+3')
Jun 21, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 11
Sao Paulo
2-1
Athletico PR
Neves (19'), Luciano (47')
Calleri (59'), Neves (85'), Paulista (90+2')
Roque (11')
Santana (44'), Heleno (57')
Jul 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Athletico PR
1-0
Sao Paulo
Bueno (69' pen.)
Fernandinho (80'), Cittadini (84'), Heleno (86')

Luizao (42'), Alves (51'), Nikao (68'), Luciano (85')
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Sao Paulo
4-0
Athletico PR
Calleri (19', 52', 70'), Luciano (74')
Alisson (23')

Henrique (50'), Bueno (57'), Christian (82')
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Sao Paulo
0-0
Athletico PR
Reinaldo (14'), Calleri (29'), Pele (90')
Santos (29'), Marcinho (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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