MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 22:13:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Bahia

Athletico PR
1 - 3
Bahia

Di Yorio (61')
Fernandinho (36'), Heleno (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Stum (9'), Teixeira (15'), Luciano (78')
Stum (40'), Victor (79'), Fernandes (79'), Rezende (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Bahia

Athletico Paranaense boast the second-best defensive record in the division and will be confident of keeping Bahia at bay here. We can see the home team emerging triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
60.04% (1.307 1.31) 21.66% (-0.691 -0.69) 18.31% (-0.616 -0.62)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.126 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (2.057 2.06)44.41% (-2.055 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (1.965 1.97)66.79% (-1.963 -1.96)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (1.111 1.11)14.38% (-1.109 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.74% (2.113 2.11)42.26% (-2.112 -2.11)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (0.519 0.52)37.97% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.501 0.5)74.74% (-0.5 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.02%
    Bahia 18.31%
    Draw 21.66%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.273 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.247 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.502 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.405 -0.41)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
70.2%
Draw
19.1%
Bahia
10.6%
47
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 34
Bahia
1-1
Athletico PR
Stum (73' pen.)
Duarte (65'), Stum (77'), Kanu (80')
Canobbio (87')
Moura (29'), Caca (46'), Canobbio (71'), Fernandinho (73')
Jul 16, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 15
Athletico PR
2-0
Bahia
Roque (24'), Erick (35')
Ivaldo (66'), Heleno (84')

Stum (63')
Jul 13, 2022 12.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Bahia
Erick (78'), Cardoso (90+4')
Davo (5')
Xavier (53')
Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bahia
1-2
Athletico PR
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-2
Bahia

Nikao (77')
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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