MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 02:31:39| >> :60:62:62:
Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Emelec

Defensa
1 - 0
Emelec

Barbona (62')
Togni (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Villalba (35'), Carcelen (59'), Leon (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Defensa y Justicia and Emelec, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Emelec 1-2 Defensa
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Emelec

All competitions
Last Game: Emelec 1-2 Defensa
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Emelec

 The hosts were dominant in the first leg and were rarely troubled, aside from the early goal they conceded. They will likely look to get an early goal themselves in this one, which will put them firmly in the driver's seat, and we can see them sitting back thereafter and seeing out the match by shutting out their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawEmelec
58.34% (-1.402 -1.4) 23.51% (0.612 0.61) 18.15% (0.79 0.79)
Both teams to score 47.13% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-1.231 -1.23)52.26% (1.23 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-1.069 -1.07)73.96% (1.069 1.07)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.938 -0.94)17.66% (0.937 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72% (-1.651 -1.65)48.28% (1.65 1.65)
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (0.233 0.23)42.76% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (0.195 0.2)79.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 58.34%
    Emelec 18.15%
    Draw 23.5%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawEmelec
1-0 @ 13.09% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 11.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.362 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.347 0.35)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.15%

Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Emelec
1-2
Defensa
Carabali (5')
Leon (40'), Carabali (52'), Ortiz (71')
Fernandez (87'), Togni (90+1')
Fernandez (1')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
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