MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:49:09| >> :60:496:496:
Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Emelec

Defensa
1 - 0
Emelec

Barbona (62')
Togni (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Villalba (35'), Carcelen (59'), Leon (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Defensa y Justicia and Emelec, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Emelec 1-2 Defensa
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Emelec

All competitions
Last Game: Emelec 1-2 Defensa
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Emelec

 The hosts were dominant in the first leg and were rarely troubled, aside from the early goal they conceded. They will likely look to get an early goal themselves in this one, which will put them firmly in the driver's seat, and we can see them sitting back thereafter and seeing out the match by shutting out their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawEmelec
58.34% (-1.402 -1.4) 23.51% (0.612 0.61) 18.15% (0.79 0.79)
Both teams to score 47.13% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-1.231 -1.23)52.26% (1.23 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-1.069 -1.07)73.96% (1.069 1.07)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.938 -0.94)17.66% (0.937 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72% (-1.651 -1.65)48.28% (1.65 1.65)
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (0.233 0.23)42.76% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (0.195 0.2)79.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 58.34%
    Emelec 18.15%
    Draw 23.5%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawEmelec
1-0 @ 13.09% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 11.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.362 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.347 0.35)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.15%

Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Emelec
1-2
Defensa
Carabali (5')
Leon (40'), Carabali (52'), Ortiz (71')
Fernandez (87'), Togni (90+1')
Fernandez (1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!