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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Defensa y Justicia

Arsenal
1 - 2
Defensa

Londono (21')
Londono (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (68', 69')
Cardona (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, July 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Tigre
Sunday, July 2 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Arsenal Sarandi 1-2 Defensa y Justicia

Although Arsenal Sarandi have picked up several wins on home soil in recent weeks, we expect Defensa y Justicia to get the better of the league's bottom club, although the hosts look set to push the visitors all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
32.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 29.18% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 37.99% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.39% (0.147 0.15)62.61% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.82% (0.106 0.11)82.18% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.016999999999996 0.02)35.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)72.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.158 0.16)31.83% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.18 0.18)68.27% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 32.82%
    Defensa y Justicia 37.98%
    Draw 29.18%
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.18%
0-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.35% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.98%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Defensa

Arsenal Sarandi
4.3%
Draw
26.1%
Defensa y Justicia
69.6%
23
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Defensa
0-0
Arsenal
Navas (45+1'), Miloc (55')
Mar 21, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 7
Defensa
1-1
Arsenal
Frias (4' pen.)
Colombo (59')
Goni (72')
Aug 29, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Arsenal
0-0
Defensa
Hachen (27'), Soto (39'), Frias (89')
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
First Phase
Defensa
0-1
Arsenal
Unsain (8' og.)
Gariglio (6'), Jeremias Fernandez (80'), Picco (85'), Frias (90+4')
Aug 18, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Defensa
0-3
Arsenal

Piovi (26'), Rodriguez (60')
Parisi (10'), Alvarez Suarez (37'), Sonora (74')
Gimenez (32'), Rescaldani (32'), Pereyra (55'), Piovi (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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