Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.