MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 15:55:40| >> :60:439:439:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Gilberto Parada
Independiente

Guabira
1 - 3
Independiente

Pascua (89')
Mercado (22'), Pascua (67'), Supayabe (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Herrera (8', 35', 52')
Herrera (24'), Roa (30')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guabira and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
GuabiraDrawIndependiente
43.25%23.53%33.22%
Both teams to score 62.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65%39.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31%61.68%
Guabira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44%18.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19%49.81%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58%57.42%
Score Analysis
    Guabira 43.25%
    Independiente 33.22%
    Draw 23.52%
GuabiraDrawIndependiente
2-1 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.22%

rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
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