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Patronato
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 18, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
3 - 2
Lanus

Arias (37'), Canteros (76'), Sosa (78')
Pardo (63'), Garcia (68'), (79'), Canteros (83'), Palavecino (84'), Sosa (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sand (15'), Malcorra (31')
Bernabei (76'), Aguirre (82')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawLanus
36.31%27.99%35.7%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.79%58.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11%66.89%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97%31.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66%67.34%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 36.3%
    Lanus 35.69%
    Draw 27.99%
PatronatoDrawLanus
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 6.51%
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.69%

How you voted: Patronato vs Lanus

Patronato
0.0%
Draw
27.3%
Lanus
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2021 10pm
First Phase
Lanus
4-2
Patronato
Sand (45+1' pen.), Belmonte (60'), De la Vega (80'), Vera (87')
Perez (30'), De la Vega (68')
Benitez (83'), Sosa (90')
Leys (33'), Benitez (63'), Barreto (65'), Geminiani (69')
Jan 3, 2021 10.20pm
Fase Complementacion
Patronato
1-1
Lanus
Arias (89')
Torres (69'), Luna (70'), Canto (75')
Lodico (75')
Perez (6'), Torres (14'), Perez (73')
Sep 28, 2019 1.10am
Gameweek 8
Patronato
1-1
Lanus
Lemos (6')
Compagnucci (25'), Comas (42'), Abero (92')
Acosta (47')
Munoz (69'), De La Vega (76'), Rossi (93')
Oct 20, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Lanus
3-1
Patronato
Ribas (13'), Lemos (47' og.), Sinisterra (78')
Sperduti (60')
Carabajal (49'), Lemos (61'), Geminiani (64'), Andrade (89')
rhs 2.0
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