Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Sarmiento0 - 0Gimnasia
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Sarmiento and Gimnasia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 35.9% | 28.6% | 35.5% |
| Both teams to score 46.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
