Coppa Italia | Second Round
Dec 14, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 0Salernitana
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Genoa 1-1 Salernitana (Salernitana wins on penalties)
Neither team have been particularly sharp in Serie A, however, I Granata have won more games than Genoa domestically this season (2-1), and they will not be under the same kind of pressure as Genoa in this encounter, so we expect that the longer this game remains tied, the more it favours the visitors, who have veteran players like Ribery who should provide a calming influence in what could be a tense and tight affair. Genoa have yet to win at home in the league this season, and this group of players are still struggling to find their bearings under a new boss with a new system. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Salernitana |
| 36.18% | 26.02% | 37.8% |
| Both teams to score 54.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
