Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
44.38% ( 0.9) | 24.25% ( -0.59) | 31.36% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 58.95% ( 1.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.52% ( 2.54) | 43.48% ( -2.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.12% ( 2.45) | 65.87% ( -2.46) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( 1.45) | 19.76% ( -1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.2% ( 2.3) | 51.79% ( -2.31) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( 1.05) | 26.53% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( 1.36) | 61.73% ( -1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.61) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.58) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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