Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.22% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%) , while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.