MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:18:15| >> :600:189326:189326:
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 20, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Firmin-Daudou
Brest logo

Trelissac
1 - 2
Brest

Bisson (75')
Romil (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lala (78' pen.), Satriano (88')
Camara (87'), Lees-Melou (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Trelissac and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fabregues 1-4 Trelissac
Saturday, January 6 at 12pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Trelissac 0-4 Brest

Brest have overcome most teams in Ligue 1 with relatively little fuss over the past two months, seeing them surge up the table, and their fourth-tier opponents should not provide too much of an obstacle for them to surpass. Trelissac come into this game in fine form themselves, but should Brest field a strong team here, they have very little chance of causing an upset against France's most in-form side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 96.47%. A draw had a probability of 3.1% and a win for Trelissac had a probability of 0.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-3 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (16.86%) and 0-2 (14.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.95%), while for a Trelissac win it was 1-0 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
TrelissacDrawBrest
0.38% (-0.001 -0) 3.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0) 96.47% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 12.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.46% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)44.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Trelissac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
13.23% (-0.016 -0.02)86.77% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0.91% (-0.002 -0)99.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)2.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
89.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)10.76%
Score Analysis
    Trelissac 0.38%
    Brest 96.46%
    Draw 3.14%
TrelissacDrawBrest
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 0.38%
0-0 @ 1.95%
1-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 3.14%
0-3 @ 17.76% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 16.86% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 14.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 12.8%
0-6 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-7 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-8 @ 2.09%
1-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-6 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 96.46%

rhs 2.0
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