MX23RW : Monday, May 6 08:57:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lorient logo

Brest
4 - 0
Lorient

Doumbia (22', 25', 29', 45+3')
Brassier (87')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Junior Kroupi (70'), Silva (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Brest
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-1 Lorient

Brest have been one of the most improved sides in Ligue 1 this season and will be looking to secure another win before the December break. Lorient have failed to win a single match on the road this season, and we feel they will struggle to improve that record in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLorient
53.94% (0.179 0.18) 24.1% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 21.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.12% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.186 0.19)49.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (0.167 0.17)71.92% (-0.166 -0.17)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (0.139 0.14)18.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (0.233 0.23)49.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)37.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 53.94%
    Lorient 21.95%
    Draw 24.1%
BrestDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.94%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.95%

How you voted: Brest vs Lorient

Brest
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Lorient
7.1%
42
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Lorient
2-1
Brest
Kone (32', 51')
Del Castillo (69' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Brest
1-2
Lorient
Moffi (24', 53')
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient

Satriano (45+4'), Agoume (81')
Chardonnet (29')
Kone (73')
Innocent (43'), Lauriente (45'), Mendes (45+4'), Abergel (65')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lorient
1-2
Brest
Grbic (5')
Silva (76')
Hergault (28')
Faivre (58' pen.), Mounie (80')
Honorat (44')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 31
Lorient
1-0
Brest
Abergel (45')
Abergel (20'), Monconduit (78'), Hamel (88')

Mounie (52'), Brassier (85')
Belkebla (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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