Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Brest |
40.63% ( -0.13) | 27.6% ( 0.03) | 31.78% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.34% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.73% ( -0.1) | 57.27% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.89% ( -0.08) | 78.11% ( 0.08) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( -0.11) | 27.65% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( -0.15) | 63.2% ( 0.15) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% ( 0.02) | 33.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( 0.02) | 69.79% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |