Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
