Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.