Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
