Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
