Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.