Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 1-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
-0.79) 
0.22) 
