We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Preston North End
Preston will be the favourites heading into this match, given they compete two divisions above their hosts, but with the team still adjusting under their new boss, we expect a fairly tight game with the visitors ultimately securing the win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.