Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.