Middlesbrough

4 - 3

Shrewsbury

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.