Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.