EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion2 - 1Mansfield
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Mansfield Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Newport
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Mansfield Town |
23.41% ( 0.06) | 22.53% ( 0.04) | 54.06% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% ( -0.1) | 41.54% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% ( -0.1) | 63.94% ( 0.1) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0) | 31.35% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -0.01) | 67.71% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.66% ( -0.07) | 15.34% ( 0.07) |