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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Walsall |
59.68% ( 0.14) | 21.24% ( -0.06) | 19.07% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.94% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% ( 0.15) | 41.35% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% ( 0.15) | 63.75% ( -0.15) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.51% ( 0.09) | 13.49% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.49% ( 0.18) | 40.51% ( -0.18) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% ( -0) | 35.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% ( -0) | 72.09% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Walsall |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 19.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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