Port Vale will be in high spirits after booking their place in the EFL Cup quarter-finals, but we think that they may struggle to claim another cup win at the weekend.
Burton have had a week to prepare for Saturday's contest, and their fresh legs could help them claim a fourth straight victory in away meetings with Port Vale.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
