Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 86.94%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 3.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 4-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.43%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.