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Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
The County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
27.67%23.83%48.51%
Both teams to score 58.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38%43.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99%66.02%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.03%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88%18.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93%49.08%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 27.67%
    Newport County 48.51%
    Draw 23.83%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 6.86%
1-0 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-1 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 7.69%
1-3 @ 5.41%
0-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 1.87%
2-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 48.51%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
70.0%
Draw
17.5%
Newport County
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Swindon
0-2
Newport
O'Brien (38'), Matt (82')
O'Brien (55')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Newport
0-0
Swindon
Sheehan (29'), Crofts (63'), Demetriou (72')
Anderson (30'), Carroll (92')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
2-1
Newport
Doughty (3'), Woolery (82')
Iandolo (26'), Adebayo (50')
Amond (47')
Demetriou (8'), O'Brien (45'), Semenyo (50')
Sep 11, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Doughty (77' pen.)
Twine (90')

O'Brien (66')
rhs 2.0
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