Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.