Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Valerenga Fotball win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.