Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.