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Ajax
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Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Almere City

van Amersfoort (15', 70'), van Beek (40')
Haye (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Royo (39'), van Bruggen (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-5 Heracles
Sunday, November 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 3-1 Almere City

Heerenveen have been prolific in front of their home supporters recently, scoring 11 goals in their last three matches at Abe Lenstra Stadion, and we expect that theme to continue on Friday. Almere's confidence would have been severely knocked by the loss to Hercales last time out, and we cannot envisage them recovering in time to earn a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
60.68% (-0.102 -0.1) 20.47% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 18.84% (0.087 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.071999999999996 0.07)38.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (0.076999999999998 0.08)60.4% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)12.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (-0.012 -0.01)37.83% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (0.12899999999999 0.13)33.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.143 0.14)70.33% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 60.68%
    Almere City 18.84%
    Draw 20.47%
HeerenveenDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 60.68%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 18.84%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Almere City

Heerenveen
71.0%
Draw
29.0%
Almere City
0.0%
31
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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