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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
38.43% ( -2.12) | 26.36% ( 0.65) | 35.21% ( 1.47) |
Both teams to score 52.93% ( -1.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.21% ( -2.55) | 51.79% ( 2.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.45% ( -2.25) | 73.55% ( 2.25) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.7% ( -2.29) | 26.3% ( 2.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.57% ( -3.15) | 61.43% ( 3.15) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( -0.33) | 28.18% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% ( -0.42) | 63.87% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.84) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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