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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
12.11% ( 0.04) | 17.49% ( 0.03) | 70.39% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.85% ( -0.01) | 38.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.58% ( -0.01) | 60.42% ( 0.01) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.59% ( 0.07) | 42.41% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.21% ( 0.06) | 78.79% ( -0.06) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.31% ( -0.02) | 9.68% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.7% ( -0.05) | 32.29% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.11% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.49% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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