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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NAC Breda in this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Almere City |
47.06% ( 0.44) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 27.51% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.38% ( -0.4) | 50.62% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.47% ( -0.35) | 72.53% ( 0.35) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( 0.03) | 21.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( 0.04) | 54.57% ( -0.05) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( -0.57) | 32.87% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( -0.64) | 69.44% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Almere City |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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