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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
36.86% ( -0.89) | 24.23% ( 0.3) | 38.91% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 60.59% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.01% ( -1.51) | 41.99% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.6% ( -1.54) | 64.4% ( 1.54) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( -1.13) | 22.68% ( 1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( -1.71) | 56.32% ( 1.71) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% ( -0.37) | 21.64% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.24% ( -0.57) | 54.76% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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