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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PSV

Almere City
0 - 4
PSV


Akujobi (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Til (26'), Lozano (42'), Veerman (66'), Pepi (90+3')
Boscagli (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 PSV
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Almere City 0-4 PSV Eindhoven

PSV should easily bounce back from their disappointing display in midweek by beating one of the favourites for relegation. Having already lost 4-1 here against Twente and 6-1 at Feyenoord, there is not much down for Almere, who are expected to fall to a fifth defeat from six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
20.9% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.27% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 58.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.66% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.14% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.86% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.23% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)11.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)36.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 20.9%
    PSV Eindhoven 58.83%
    Draw 20.27%
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20.9%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.83%

How you voted: Almere City vs PSV

Almere City
4.8%
Draw
14.3%
PSV Eindhoven
81.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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