MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:38:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Ajax

AZ
2 - 0
Ajax

van Bommel (7', 67')
Bazoer (55'), Goes (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-2 AZ
Saturday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Ajax
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-3 Ajax

 While AZ have the benefit of having a week of preparation for this game, Ajax are on a high after their Europa Conference League exploits. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to put in another improved performance to earn a second crucial win in the context of their season in quick succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
49.97% (-0.389 -0.39) 20.53% (0.115 0.12) 29.49% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 71.77% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.7% (-0.392 -0.39)26.3% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.4% (-0.504 -0.5)46.6% (0.503 0.5)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.244 -0.24)11.29% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (-0.535 -0.53)35.92% (0.534 0.53)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)19.1% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)50.72% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 49.97%
    Ajax 29.49%
    Draw 20.53%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 5.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.16% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.57% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.49%

How you voted: AZ vs Ajax

AZ Alkmaar
38.1%
Draw
21.4%
Ajax
40.5%
42
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Ajax
1-2
AZ
Van den Boomen (73')
Bergwijn (50'), Vos (65')
Pavlidis (45'), De Wit (57')
Martins Indi (87')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
Ajax
0-0
AZ
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
2-1
Ajax
De Wit (40'), Odgaard (45+5')
Kudus (12')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
2-2
Ajax
Pavlidis (62'), Evjen (75')
Clasie (72'), Pavlidis (90+1'), Wijndal (90+4')
Brobbey (42'), Alvarez (86')
Klaassen (78')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
AZ
0-2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')
Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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