MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 17:58:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Almere City

Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-1 Almere City

With two wins, two draws and two defeats in their previous six matches, Nijmegen are a tough side to predict, but there should be goals, even if the two sides are difficult to separate on paper. Almere produced two mammoth performances to get their first top-flight wins before the international break, and maintaining a position outside of the bottom three will be the aim now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NECDrawAlmere City
57.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 20.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 21.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.68% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.069999999999993 0.07)35.56% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.076999999999998 0.08)57.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)12.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)37.77% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)29.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (0.029000000000003 0.03)65.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 57.93%
    Almere City 21.35%
    Draw 20.73%
NECDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 57.93%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 21.35%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
2-3
Almere City
Balker (65' og.), Kvida (71')
Proper (79'), Flemming (90')
Efmorfidis (23'), Kip (34'), Verheydt (72')
Feb 22, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 26
Nijmegen
5-0
Almere City
Okita (21', 37'), Bossaerts (42', 82'), Bruijn (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
9Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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