MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 17:05:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

AZ
2 - 0
Sparta

de Wit (18'), Pavlidis (19')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Verschueren (38'), Bakari (43'), van der Kust (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 AZ
Sunday, September 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Nijmegen
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam

 AZ have commenced the 2023-24 term superbly in the Eredivisie and on the continent, and Jansen's charges will be confident of making it four successive wins in the league on Sunday. Sparta have won both of their league outings so far this season, but we are expecting the side from Rotterdam to suffer their first loss of the campaign at AFAS Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
60.44% (-0.844 -0.84) 21.44% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 18.12% (0.835 0.84)
Both teams to score 53.46% (1.612 1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.23% (1.326 1.33)43.77% (-1.325 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.84% (1.286 1.29)66.16% (-1.283 -1.28)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (0.173 0.17)14.04% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (0.334 0.33)41.61% (-0.332 -0.33)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (1.757 1.76)37.81% (-1.754 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (1.669 1.67)74.58% (-1.666 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 60.44%
    Sparta Rotterdam 18.12%
    Draw 21.44%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-0 @ 10.23% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.69% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.094 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 60.44%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.238 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: AZ vs Sparta

AZ Alkmaar
79.2%
Draw
16.7%
Sparta Rotterdam
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
0-1
Sparta
Lauritsen (45+1')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sparta
2-3
AZ
Van Crooij (1', 59')
Verschueren (36'), van Crooij (38'), Steijn (90+1')
Pavlidis (45+1' pen.), De Wit (57'), Milos (65')
Martins Indi (38'), de Wit (38')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sparta
1-1
AZ
Van Crooij (90+3')
Pavlidis (48')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
AZ
3-1
Sparta
Karlsson (27' pen., 31'), Pavlidis (58')
Pavlidis (45')
Auassar (19')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
AZ
2-0
Sparta
Clasie (13'), De Wit (66')

Pinto (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
> Eredivisie Full Table


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