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Ajax
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
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NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
NEC

Sparta
1 - 1
Nijmegen

Kitolano (81' pen.)
Verschueren (16')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Proper (56')
Nuytinck (8'), Meijer (9'), Hansen (57'), Baas (65'), Rober (67'), Rober (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, August 27 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 26 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 NEC

On the back of their victory last time out, NEC will feel that they can play with a sense of freedom against opponents who may feel the weight of expectation to capitalise on their fast start. Nevertheless, we are still backing the home side to prevail, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
35.86% (0.104 0.1) 25.72% (-0.012 -0.01) 38.42% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.061999999999998 0.06)48.99% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (0.056999999999999 0.06)71.07% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (0.089000000000013 0.09)26.45% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.12 0.12)61.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.02% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)59.68% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 35.86%
    NEC 38.42%
    Draw 25.72%
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
1-0 @ 8.8%
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 38.42%

How you voted: Sparta vs Nijmegen

Sparta Rotterdam
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
NEC
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 7pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 10
Sparta
2-0
Nijmegen
Abels (7'), De Guzman (29')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
Nijmegen
0-0
Sparta
Guth (51')
de Kamps (19')
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 4
Sparta
1-1
Nijmegen
Mijnans (44')
Auassar (62'), Abels (73')
Okita (28')
Akman (36'), Barreto (79'), Schone (85')
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 30
Sparta
1-0
Nijmegen
Ache (40')

Bruijn (32'), Wolters (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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