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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
78.33% ( 0.01) | 13.97% ( -0) | 7.7% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.1% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.8% ( 0.01) | 35.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.79% ( 0.01) | 57.21% ( -0.01) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.78% ( 0) | 7.22% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.81% ( 0) | 26.19% ( -0.01) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.77% | 49.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.88% ( -0) | 84.12% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 12.27% 3-0 @ 10.75% 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.01% 5-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% 6-0 @ 1.63% 6-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.01% Total : 78.32% | 1-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 13.97% | 0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |