MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:18:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Waalwijk logo

AZ
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), van Brederode (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van den Buijs (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Anderlecht (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Wednesday, April 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 RKC Waalwijk

Given their hectic fixture schedule, AZ will not be as sharp as they could be for this fixture. However, they should still have too much quality in their ranks for RKC, whose inconsistency seems likely to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
78.33% (0.0050000000000097 0.01) 13.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 7.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 47.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.8% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)35.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)7.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.81% (0.0040000000000049 0)26.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.77%49.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)84.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.32%
    RKC Waalwijk 7.7%
    Draw 13.97%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 12.27%
3-0 @ 10.75%
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.01%
5-0 @ 3.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.7%
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.63%
6-1 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 78.32%
1-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 13.97%
0-1 @ 2.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 7.7%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
RKC Waalwijk
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 13
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AZ
Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')
Anita (22')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 30
AZ
1-3
RKC Waalwijk
De Wit (45+1')
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3.30pm
gameweek 1
RKC Waalwijk
1-0
AZ
Kramer (44')

Gudmundsson (75'), Sugawara (89')
May 1, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Oosting (17')
Sow (69')
Gudmundsson (28'), Boadu (63'), Stengs (82')
Letschert (69'), Sugawara (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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