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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (8', 11')
Pleguezuelo (61'), Cerny (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Karlsson (66')
Karlsson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 FC Twente
Saturday, March 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: FC Twente 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ head into the clash on a better run of results but Twente have repeatedly shown how tough to beat they are on home turf. We expect a highly-entertaining affair here with goals at both ends and honours even come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
50.09% (0.248 0.25) 24.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.58% (-0.228 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)47.48% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)69.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.060999999999993 0.06)18.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (0.106 0.11)50.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.235 -0.23)32.75% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.262 -0.26)69.31% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 50.09%
    AZ Alkmaar 25.58%
    Draw 24.34%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.58%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
AZ Alkmaar
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
AZ
4-1
FC Twente
Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')
Dec 13, 2020 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
AZ
Danilo (73' pen.)
Drommel (33'), Danilo (90+2')
Oosterwolde (89')
Koopmeiners (34' pen., 90'), Sugawara (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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