MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:26:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
AZ Alkmaar

Vitesse
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsson (29')
Sugawara (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Cambuur
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

 With one eye on Tuesday's continental commitment, AZ could opt to field a relatively weaker starting lineup on Friday. Nonetheless, we are backing the away side to come away with all three points, albeit in hard-fought fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.26% (-1.519 -1.52) 23.54% (-0.113 -0.11) 52.2% (1.633 1.63)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.879 -0.88)45.19% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.848 -0.85)67.54% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-1.714 -1.71)32.61% (1.716 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-1.967 -1.97)69.15% (1.969 1.97)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.28099999999999 0.28)17.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (0.49 0.49)47.67% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 24.26%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.2%
    Draw 23.53%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.456 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.476 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.322 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 52.2%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
15.7%
Draw
8.4%
AZ Alkmaar
75.9%
83
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sugawara (42'), de Wit (90+3')
Sankoh (87')
Vidovic (34')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Vitesse
0-0
AZ

Bazoer (26')

Karlsson (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!