Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AZ
Tuesday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Tuesday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen
Buoyed by their European triumph in midweek, AZ will head into this weekend's contest with a spring in their step. We fancy the home side to stroll to a routine victory here, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.2%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Groningen |
82.41% ( -0.02) | 11.33% ( 0.01) | 6.26% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
