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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
21.05% ( 0.01) | 20.94% | 58.01% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.41% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% ( 0.01) | 37.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% ( 0.02) | 59.21% ( -0.01) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.02) | 30.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.02) | 67.18% ( -0.02) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% ( 0) | 12.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.31% ( 0) | 38.69% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.05% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.51% 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 4.02% Total : 58.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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